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Motu’s Land Use in Rural New Zealand (LURNZ) model at work: Simulation results
This page shows examples of the LURNZ model at work.
The model is designed to produce dynamic paths of rural land-use change, and maps of annual rural land use change across New Zealand to empirically investigate the potential impacts of policies designed to alter land-use decisions. Go to the main LURNZ page.
Below are some examples of LURNZ simulation results, and on this page under Publications you can find papers that include LURNZ simulation results.
These results were presented by Motu as a poster at the Analysis, Integration and Modeling of Earth Systems Open Science Conference, Edinburgh, May 2010.
- Kerr, Suzi; Wei Zhang and William Power. 2010. "Short Term Effects of Moderate Carbon Prices on Land Use in the New Zealand Emissions Trading System: LURNZ-Climate Land Use Change Simulations," New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Conference, Nelson, 26-7 August 2010.
- Kerr, Suzi; William Power and Wei Zhang. 2009. "Potential Scrub Changes and Its Spatial Allocation Under the New Zealand Emission Trading System," in The XXVII International Conference of Agricultural Economists, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China.
- Kerr, Suzi; Levente Timar and Wei Zhang. 2010. "Emissions Trading for Forestry and Agriculture: Policy Design and Integrated Simulations in New Zealand," poster at the Analysis, Integration and Modelling of Earth Systems Open Science Conference, Edinburgh, UK.
- Baisden, Troy; Levente Timar; ED Keller; Duncan Smeaton; A Clark; David Austin; William Power and Wei Zhang. 2010. "New Zealand's Pasture Production in 2020 and 2050," GNS Science Consultancy Report 2010/154.
- Kerr, Suzi and Wei Zhang. 2009. "Allocation of New Zealand Units within Agriculture in the New Zealand Emissions Trading System," Motu Working Paper 09-16.
- Todd, Maribeth; Wei Zhang and Suzi Kerr. 2009. "Competition for land between biofuels, pastoral agriculture and scrub lands," in Bioenergy options for New Zealand: analysis of large-scale bioenergy from forestry. Peter Hall and Michael Jack. Scion report. pp. 122-40. Available online at http://www.scionresearch.com/bioenergy+report.aspx.
- Shepherd, James D.; Anne M. Sutherland; Ian Payton; Suzi Kerr; Wei Zhang and William Power. 2008. "Nature and Scale of Eligible Post-1989 Non-Planted Forests," Landcare Research Contract Report: LC809/033.
- Wratt, David; Brett Mullan, Andrew Tait, Ross Woods, Troy Baisden, Donna Giltrap, Kelly Lock, Joanna Hendy, Suzi Kerr, Adolf Stroombergen and Alek Stojanovik. 2008. "Costs and benefits of climate change and adaptation to climate change in New Zealand agriculture: what do we know so far?" Contract report by EcoClimate Consortium: Integrated Research on the Economics of Climate Change Impacts Adaptation and Mitigation, Wellington, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
- Hendy, Joanna; Suzi Kerr and Troy Baisden. 2006. "Greenhouse Gas Emissions Charges and Credits on Agricultural Land: What Can a Model Tell Us? Motu Working Paper 06-04.
- Sin, Isabelle; Emma Brunton, Joanna Hendy and Suzi Kerr. 2005. "The Likely Regional Impacts of an Agricultural Emissions Policy in New Zealand: Preliminary analysis," Motu Working Paper 05-08.
- "Emissions charges: what can the LURNZ-Climate model tell us?" in Motu Research Update, page 3, Issue 10, June 2006.